Market Manipulation in Singapore
New research by CFA Singapore uncovers no evidence of broad-based market manipulation around company announcements on SGX
- Analysis of announcements data from 2011-2016 suggests any potential instances of manipulation to be isolated incidents, not part of a broader phenomenon
- Research report recommends areas in which regulators may wish to strengthen oversight
WHAT IS MARKET MANIPULATION?
• Market Manipulation is defined as the deliberate creation of a false market in publicly traded securities with the aim of profiteering
• The study did not segregate types of manipulation; it is all-encompassing including illicit activities such as insider trading and ‘front-running’
• No evidence of broad-based manipulation around company announcements on Singapore Exchange (SGX) between Jan 2011 and Dec 2016
• Observed potential instances of manipulation around company announcements on SGX are standalone events and not part of a broader phenomenon
• Demonstrates that regulatory measures have been effective in preventing broad-based market manipulation
• Recommend certain announcement categories and sectors in which regulators may wish to strengthen oversight
• CFA Singapore and CRISIL analyzed publicly available data to determine the presence of market manipulation
• Conducted at the overall market level by looking at announcement categories and sectors, specific subset levels such as market capitalization, listing board and domicile (S-Chips or non S-Chips) groups
• Announcements were custom-categorized for more granular analysis: 4 SGX categories and 60 sub-categories re-grouped under 15 custom categories and 106 sub-categories. The study was done across three forms of returns and for multiple cumulative holding periods, pre- and post-announcement.
• Visual inspection of price and volume performance around announcements used to identify the right methodology and key parameters to be adopted for a more formal study
• Hypothesis testing, a validation study, and robustness checks (stress tests) were conducted to ensure the stability of findings